Thursday 18 June 2015

Canaccord and Tungsten Part III

Canaccord have admitted their school boy error.

In our note dated 16 June 2015, our per share valuation double counted the 16.9m Conditional Placing Shares, resulting in an erroneous share count of 142.3m. We correct our share count to 125.4m.

You would expect them to increase the target price to 109p based on the correct share count but they manage to pull out another trick similar to the ridiculous cost of funds

At same time, we now use our FY16, rather than FY15, net cash estimate of £9.2m in our valuation, in line with our 12 month target price (we previously used FY15 net cash of £12.8m plus £16.5 of net fund from the equity placing).

What has enlightened them two days after publishing the initial report? I suppose they must have taken few weeks to prepare the initial report.  It seems like a desperate measure to keep the target price under 100p.

So they have updated the target price to 99p from 96p.

I don't expect any foul play from Canaccord as one of the Tungsten's Non- Executive Director (Mr Peter Kiernan) is also the Chairman of European Investment Banking at Canaccord Genuity.

But as per companies house documents, Mr Peter Kiernan has resigned or removed from Directorship of Canaccord Genuity Limited on 2nd April 2015. Is this a coincidence?

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1 comment:

  1. agree with you re NIM. Ridiculous. His point is nonetheless that it's still very cheap on those assumptions. Drop me a line- we should talk.

    ReplyDelete